Brexit: the next stage. Deal or No Deal? (and the General Election)

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  • May has given N.I an extra 1b to get the deal. ;nonono

    Time for some more austerity....
  • I'm appalled. £1 billion to Northern Ireland just to prop up a minority government? I'm going to stay positive though & say that she is going to have a hard time justifying this one. Sinn Fein have already said that it contravenes the Good Friday agreement & puts the peace process at risk.She will face the wrath of the Scottish Parliament & the Welsh Assembly,she will face opposition from sections of the Westminster parliament & the millions of public sector workers on a permanent pay freeze will be outraged. It wouldn't even surprise me if there are some Tory voters in the shires who aren't happy about this. The 'there's no magic money tree' quote looks pretty shallow after this & might well come back to haunt her. Let's hope it does.
  • One more thing. The DUP got something like 292,000 votes & have 10 seats. UKIP,who I utterly despise by the way,got 593,000 votes & didn't get any seats.The Liberal Democrats got over 2 million votes yet only have 2 more seats than the DUP. Does anyone else think it's about time we ditched first past the post? The Tories would still have won with PR but it would be a much fairer representation of the people's choice.
  • edited June 2017
    Every one has their price......and in this case the DUP's is a cool £1 billion...... ;cool
  • One more thing. The DUP got something like 292,000 votes & have 10 seats. UKIP,who I utterly despise by the way, got 593,000 votes & didn't get any seats. The Liberal Democrats got over 2 million votes yet only have 2 more seats than the DUP. Does anyone else think it's about time we ditched first past the post? The Tories would still have won with PR but it would be a much fairer representation of the people's choice.

    No one would have won with PR, the Tories got 42.3%, Labour 40%, both would have had to try to form a coalition government, the most likely outcome would have been a Labour, Lib Dem and SNP coalition which would have given them 50.4%

    The last time any party won more than 50% of the vote was 1931, that is why neither Labour or the Tories want to ditch FPTP, they know that neither of them will ever win enough votes to form a government on their own and as the Tories are currently in government because of FPTP they certainly aren't going to change anything
  • I am not sure just how a party can use public money to bribe another party to allow them to form a majority, and so brazenly and up front as if there is nothing wrong with it. Surely any coalition or even support should be given due to sympathy with the party and it's manifesto.

    My view is that until Brexit is given up this country will be ungovernable and brexit must be given up by it's supporters rather than a political party, and that will only happen once the pain of that ludicrous decision is felt in every corner of the country, as I think it will begin to be soon. I think at present as brexit is such a shaper of voting you could hold three elections in three months and neither party would gain a majority. Only when Brexit is out of the equation will other things begin to change peoples vote, and due to the state of public funding and austerity we will get a Labour govt, once leave voters remove their votes from the conservative candidate as brexit no longer an issue.
  • Bucks Fizz... Then and now.

    IMG_0332
  • Yep, they still can't make their minds up... ;lol
  • Interesting reports of Barnier's mtg with HoL members last week.

    He is quite categorical: The [negotiated deal] should not lead to unfair competition... there will be major difficulties in obtaining ratification of any future agreement in [the EU] countries, because there will be campaigns against the negotiations. It will be said that Brussels is conducting negotiations with the UK to downgrade environmental and social standards, for example, which will lead to more tax competition. If that happens, everything is over.


    He's referring to the terms of a future trade deal which will require the UK to commit to the same (or, I suppose, higher) standards as are in the EU.

    Of course, it could be a negotiating stance, but I hope they follow through with this stance.
  • I think that we are working towards a moment in time which will involve the Govt coming clean and saying in more or less words that we can not reach a deal as we have little to negotiate with, we either leave altogether or we remain. We then go to a general election and each party can put their position to the polls.

    There is a phrase which will fail to apply by degrees the further these negotiations produce nothing resembling what was predicted by Boris's band of brothers, that phrase is will of the people. As the reality becomes clear the will of the people will change and all that will remain to be done is formulate the democratic circumstance to produce it, so we can confine the most absurd episode in the UK's political history to the bin. We will of course be damaged by it for years to come and our standing and leverage within Europe will be diminished.
  • This is so funny! Were you around before we joined?
    I didn't vote to join in the first place and we have gained nothing from joining!
    We were trading worldwide before we joined this protectionist club.
    We were prevented by the EEC as it was then, from making our own deals with our commonwealth countries. They made the deals and put large tarriffs on goods!
    We cannot fish in our own waters as much as we used to. The EU have granted all other eu members fishing rights in our waters. For instance, France is allowed to catch 5 times more cod than the UK and 3times more haddock than us, but doesn't allow us the same quotas in other countries' waters!
    Thus decimating our fishing industry!
    All those I know who voted leave would still vote the same. I also have friends who voted to stay and they say that if asked again they would change their minds.
    They agree that it was a democratic result and should be allowed to stand.
    I am nearly 71 and argue that we unwillingly gave away our nationality when we joined a club that can't get it's own accounts in order, but are bringing down other eu countries like Greece and now Italy.
    Whose economy is growing. Germany!
    We have many nations waiting to sign deals with us, but the EU need our money
    and will leave a big hole in their projects.
    All this scaremongering will make Leavers
    dig in.
    We don't like being dictated to, whoever is doing it!

  • deehammer said:

    T
    we have gained nothing from joining!

    I think it is patently obvious that this is not true.
  • I believe I am right in saying that just prior to brexit, we had the fifth largest economy in the world, for a small country like ours that does not seem to be a bad effort. Four years ago we were ninth which tells me that despite the bureaucracy and inefficiency that undoubtably exists within the EU, we were doing rather well.

    The worlds trading markets have changed beyond recognition from the days prior to us joining the EU and I never really saw any hard arguments clearly demonstrating that we will be able to operate on the world stage as a totally independent nation, as effectively as one that operates within the EU.

    I still believe that the vote to leave was primarily an emotional one that was triggered by a focus on the bureaucracy of the EU and fears over immigration. I understand that treaties and commitments exist but at the end of the day, if the situation ever arose where immigration was a truly threatening concern, as we are an island we have a very effective border and can impose restrictions on those borders very quickly indeed and there really isn't much that the continental Europeans could do about it.

    I think that we would have been better served trying to improve the EU from within rather that trying to strike out on our own.

    Nothing new in the arguments above and maybe viewed as slightly hypocritical seeing how I have made my bed over here, but it represents my tuppence haepenny worth.



    ;ok
  • edited July 2017
    Also, Dee, I think your assessment of the issue of fishing is not fully reflecting the true picture. It's easy to say 'the EU has decimated our fishing industry'.

    I'm not sure how that squares with the fact that the UK has the 2nd largest catch of any country in the EU and the highest profit margin in the EU (35%)

    It is a fact that internationally, technological improvements have resulted in a reduction in the number of boats in nation's fishing fleets. Nothing to do with the EU or quotas. A proportion of the decline in UK fishing fleets (numbers of boats and numbers of people employed in that industry) is due to that - and would have happened anyway and is not going to be significantly reversed by leaving the EU.


    Furthermore, fishing quotas aren't only a result of EU membership and aren't only there to share out who gets what. There are also agreements with non-EU countries that set quotas (these won't vanish when we leave the EU); the UK is also part of n UN Convention which will mean there will continue to be limits on the fish catch post-Brexit. Quotas are also necessary for environmental reasons to prevent destruction of stocks (and are successful in doing so - see cod).

    Another point about quotas - the UK govt is responsible for allocating its quotas among the UK fishing fleet. While 'small' fishermen might blame the EU, the fact is that much of the blame should be put on the UK govt.

    So things won't magically be like it was before the UK joined the EU. When we in any case did much of our fishing in Icelandic waters, who have since then widened the exclusion zone.
  • edited July 2017
    deehammer. Here are the facts about fishing. One, Britain makes more money than any other country in Europe from fishing. Two, Britain has the second largest quota for fish in Europe after Denmark. Three, Britain has the third largest landings. After leaving we will find it very hard to patrol our "own" waters, we don't have the naval vessels to do it and will be restricted on where our fisherman now catch most fish, which is not in our own waters.
  • Sorry not but I'm not sure of the relevance of your education comes into this. Haven't got a degree so must be thick?
  • Herb

    Don't think that was what was being suggested at all; the reverse if anything.
  • but you cant re nationalise under current EU rules (counts as state aid)

    I didn't know that? ;hmm

    But don't other EU countries have nationalised industries?

    I thought state aid only applied to private sector companies in competition with other private sector companies.

    Rushes off to find out more ;run
  • edited July 2017
    They are potentially overlapping ;ok

    But re 106 - I think (if I have read it properly, and understood sme of the explanatory notes) a key question would be if the nationalised bit/activity fell within the definition of an 'undertaking' (which has been interpreted by the ECJ as meaning 'business') then the fair competition rules apply. But, if it is outwith that definition (by being classed as a 'public service') then it is not subject to the competition rules.

    The fact remains that there are state-owned things (railways, power supply etc) in other EU states, so the rules don't prohibit them. (And of course, our own NHS is a public service.) I imagine it would require perhaps the re-nationalised UK industries to be constituted or operating in a slightly different way the form they took pre-privatisation.

    And it might keep the ECJ busy.

    But its all moot.
  • The other EU countries retained their state owned railways and they're busy making money out of the UK.

    French state railway SNCF has a 35% stake in Govia, they operate the DLR as a joint venture with Amey and started operating the Manchester Trams this month

    Dutch state railway NS operates in the UK as Abellio

    German state railway DB operates various services as Arriva including London Overground and is also the largest freight operator in the UK

    And in February Italian state railway Trenitalia bought the c2c franchise from National Express
  • As with French and Dutch State-run railways making money off British railways, and the relaxed immigration policies, it seems that a lot of what the Brexiteers are angry about is a direct result of British government policy. Ironically, it is precisely the power of making your own decisions and having your own control that got the UK to where it is today. :-(
  • its called Greed and selling out. The UK government hasn't cared about the people in a long time. Need to make money? farm out and sell our assets to other countries then label it under "Trade and Business" its the taxpayer and people of the country who foot the bill always.

    This silk road of China that everyone is marvelling over watch in 25 years as China calls in on all its debts after the USA kicks off after China overtakes them. The UK has zero to limited resource and relying on a financial sector that in time will evaporate. The UK export market is a joke on the world stage if you take out the financial sector which is pretty much the reason why inequality is continually widening.

    There is a huge inequality in wealth which gets bigger every day and its just about keeping that process ticking over. The only way it will end is a straight up reset / revolution.
  • Thatcher started the ball rolling but every government since then has kept it rolling, Blair and Brown were supporters of privatising the UK just as much as Major, Cameron or May. The state of the NHS, the housing crisis, the recession, austerity and Brexit are all the fault of the stupid, greedy British voters who believe the rubbish they are fed by the press.
  • So anyone you disagree with is greedy and stupid? Nice
  • Did I say that?
  • edited July 2017
    Do you think the NHS being slowly privatised out of existence, that people are unable to find homes near to where they grew up and where their families live or the austerity that is a result of the 2008 recession are good things for the country?
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