The UK is Out - New PM - and whither now for Article 50

1151618202179

Comments

  • So I've just read that a million have signed a petition calling for a second EU referendum?

    Hilarious.

    So democracy is absolutely the way to go, unless of course the result doesn't go your way?
  • That's their democratic right though surely
  • edited June 2016
    I don't think there will be, or should be, a 2nd referendum. I don't even think there should have been a 1st one.

    However, if I were playing devils advocate, I could say

    democracy is absolutely the way to go, unless of course you are worried you might lose. ;biggrin ;wink
  • The industrial strife in the 70s was down to rampant inflation which was caused by the oil embargo following the Arab-Israeli war of 1973 but obviouly that doesn't fit with the authorised version as laid down the Daily Mail etc that the unions destroyed the country

  • So I've just read that a million have signed a petition calling for a second EU referendum?

    Hilarious.

    So democracy is absolutely the way to go, unless of course the result doesn't go your way?

    I think the # required is around 17,000,000

    As for unions dont get me started, joined at 16 left within 6 months when they asked me to break my apprenticeship agreement and take days off in support of the engineers strike for a 39 hour week. The company i worked for was a family business and could not afford the disruption, they had already agreed to 39 hours. Needless to say union members supported the car plants demands, i am sure the car workers would have supported us in similar circumstances- NOT
  • Madrid - as somebody who lives in Spain, are you equally furious at the EU's inability to tackle the very high level of youth unemployment in that country? Many of them with degrees can't even get a job serving coffee in Starbucks - unlike our own graduates, many of whom have been able able to secure such exulted positions as a result of the benign intervention of the EU.
    They will of course, all shortly lose their livelihoods and futures, as a result of us oldies have have the temerity to express our view, having experienced the full 40 years of EU mismanagement, in a referendum. Shame on us, we really ought to shuffle off to our rooms in the care home, and stay out of important issues which, unless we have a degree, we clearly are not qualified or entitled to meddle in.

    Iron Mike.
    Re your first point,yes I am.
    I accept that the older generation has a right to express it's view but I don't think it's fair that 16 & 17 year olds have no say in their future & someone of say 85 years has.By the way I'm 51.
  • BTW if anyone wants a good easily readable history of the last century I can thoroughly recommend Andrew Marr's two 'Modern Britain' books
  • I honestly don't see how people think Britain will be able to negotiate better trade terms on our own compared to having the whole EU as you bargaining group.
    If you were a new company that wants easy trade with Europe you are not going to be making your hq in England.
    The EU is right now sorting out a specialist trade agreement with USA and China. We will not be able to get a better deal.
    The EU countries won't give us a good deal because that would strengthen the argument for others to leave. They will want to make things as hard as possible for us, because that's their best bet to keep it all together. They will point at us as the example of what happens when go rogue.
    Boris and Co seem to believe that they have got all the time in the world to do informal chats about the exit but the EU want us out now. There isn't going to be a honeymoon period to pre-sort stuff
  • edited June 2016
    Couldn't believe the comments about "let's take our time" when you've just campaigned that you no longer need the EU. Like me handing in my notice and moaning about how terrible my employer is, then saying but I want a few months to sort out another job and my housing situation.

    Get out asap. That's what you wanted. As has been seen already by the reaction from other EU countries, this is going to get petty and turn into a grudge match. That will in no way help the UK negotiate with other EU countries, especially when time isn't on our side.
  • I see there are calls in France to renegotiate the Le Touquet agreement, now that the UK wants a divorce.

    (The agreement was made with France, and effectively places the UK border on that side of the channel. Without it, the UK can't carry out immigration checks on refugees/migrants etc in France, but would have to wait until the people arrived in the UK.)

    You can kind of see their point: you want your borders back? Here you go. Have this one ;ok
  • But in all honesty that would probably just cause even more issues for France. If people thought it was going to be easy to get in to Britain they would flock to France in even greater numbers than there are now.

    Britain would have no requirement to help police it or provide any support what so ever on the French side and could just work on ensuring it was as hard as possible for people to actually get across illegally.

    In the end it would cause an even greater humanitarian issue would erupt in France and possibly across the EU as migrants attempt to cross to get easy access to the UK.

    So for all their bluster they aren't going to want to do anything which makes people think it's a good idea to come flooding in to France in huge numbers.
  • Moojor

    Unless, of course, they are happy to let them flow through their borders into the UK...

  • edited June 2016
    Once they get started (post Article 50) they only have 2 years to sort it all out.

    If it isn't done by then, the only way the period can be extended is if ALL the EU members agree to an extension.

    Not sure what odds you'll get on that happening.


    In the absence of an agreed extension, all international trade will become subject to WTO tariffs straight away.

    As I'm not in the import/export business, I don't know how this will impact. But I imagine business cost will go up as a result of the new paperwork/changes to IT systems/staff retraining alone?

    As for general legislation, anything in UK law, even if it was originally brought in to implement an EU directive, will stay on the statute book until it is repealed. There's a big job right there. A large number of Acts of Parliament and secondary legislation will need reviewing. Then it will need to be amended, repealed or replaced.

    All the statutory guidance etc that confers powers and duties on local authorities (eg, planning and environmental stuff) will have to be reviewed.

    Two years is nowhere near enough to do that AND to carry on with the other work of government.
  • Flow through the tunnel? It's not like we are land locked for them to easily pass across.
  • edited June 2016
    moojor, I think the point grey makes is what the French who have spoken out on this are implying.

    Why should they care if a person has no proper visas etc necessary to enter the UK. That's the UKs problem (would seem to be the argument) to deal with when the person gets off the boat at Dover.

    --
    After all, if it wasn't an issue, why put in place the Le Touquet agreement in the first place/

  • But just saying we won't check you, doesn't mean the same as you are going to just be able to walk across.

    If all of a sudden a few hundred thousand people start turning up in French ports thinking its just a trip across the border to the UK then suddenly realising it isn't that will start to cause issues with more and more people being stuck.

    Not to mention if you all of a sudden have massive movement of people across the country as a whole.
    Migrants can't just teleport to the port. They would have to cross France, this again would cause even more issues

    The treaty has nothing to do with the EU, it is bilateral between the UK and France. There is no real reason why this would not continue to do so, if anything maybe the UK not being in the EU would reduce the numbers because there is no longer the guarantee of getting anything when you get over here.

    Personally, this is where I feel the remain campaign failed. So much focus on how bad everything could be if we leave, they didn't bother to actually highlight all the benefits we get from being in the EU.
  • MrsGrey said:

    moojor, I think the point grey makes is what the French who have spoken out on this are implying.

    Why should they care if a person has no proper visas etc necessary to enter the UK. That's the UKs problem (would seem to be the argument) to deal with when the person gets off the boat at Dover.

    --
    After all, if it wasn't an issue, why put in place the Le Touquet agreement in the first place/

    Not so sure why this is an issue, you apply the same rules as they do on the airlines if the person is undocumented they are returned at the expense of the carrier
  • edited June 2016
    moojor, I agree with a lot of what you say, esp the failures of the Remain campaign.

    (For what its worth, I think they where between a rock and a hard place - albeit of their own making - where to counter the Leave arguments about job shortages, low wages, lack of affordable housing, overcrowding in schools they'd have had to admit it was their own austerity policies and budgets that were to blame).

    Re the agreement, yes it is bilateral, nothing to d with the EU. But I can understand why (some) French don't want to play nicely any more. (Although I imagine much of the impetus is coming from politicians with electorates of their own to appease.)
  • Couldn't believe the comments about "let's take our time" when you've just campaigned that you no longer need the EU. Like me handing in my notice and moaning about how terrible my employer is, then saying but I want a few months to sort out another job and my housing situation.

    Get out asap. That's what you wanted. As has been seen already by the reaction from other EU countries, this is going to get petty and turn into a grudge match. That will in no way help the UK negotiate with other EU countries, especially when time isn't on our side.

    With respect, given the size of the decision, the complexity around the "divorce" and the general make of the EU I believe its best all round if there is a more considerate and patient approach to leaving. Without dragging on into a long post; the Conservatives have to appoint a new leader which will be in October, then there is appointment of who's actually going to be negotiating the exit, trade deals, etc, etc which is probably the most important aspect for the UK' future; in addition there are the french and german elections coming up which will undoubtedly play a vital role in how good a deal we can get/our bargaining position. Given the potential timetable, there's no great certainty how the EU will develop during this period and the direct or indirect impact/influence Britain will have on the EU;its something that could develop in a way unforeseen, so I'd be in favour of a much more methodical and patient approach personally.

  • Moojor said:



    Personally, this is where I feel the remain campaign failed. So much focus on how bad everything could be if we leave, they didn't bother to actually highlight all the benefits we get from being in the EU.

    Nailed it Moojor. Campaign fear did not work. It just annoyed people.

  • Moojor said:



    Personally, this is where I feel the remain campaign failed. So much focus on how bad everything could be if we leave, they didn't bother to actually highlight all the benefits we get from being in the EU.

    Nailed it Moojor. Campaign fear did not work. It just annoyed people.

    But as Mrs G posted, this has nothing to do with the EU.
  • Apparently Farage said before referendum, it wouldn't really be finished if the vote was 52-48 - though he was thinking about it the other way around.

    As much as I'm against the leave (mostly a lot of the campaigning behind it), I do think some of the reaction has gone too far. Acting as if older people don't care about future generations is ridiculous even if I don't agree with their decision.

    For those who voted leave. If it becomes clear certain promises the campaign made, like the NHS £350m or stopping free movement or a good deal with EU, cannot be delivered, would you still support leaving? I'm not asking this to provoke anyone, just want to know how people feel because I feel now the vote's over, holding the government accountable should now be the focus.

  • edited June 2016

    Couldn't believe the comments about "let's take our time" when you've just campaigned that you no longer need the EU. Like me handing in my notice and moaning about how terrible my employer is, then saying but I want a few months to sort out another job and my housing situation.



    ;hmm Well I have to give 3 months notice if I wanted to leave and I am pretty sure unless there is a really serious issue which may end up with legal action or by mutual agreement, every one has a period of notice written into their contracts.

    This is just another case of the EU trying to bully us, they have to wait for us to invoke Article 50 as is their own requirement. Of course some of them want to rush it and give us a raw deal as a warning to any other members who have the temerity to want to leave.

    Regarding the £350 Million - I have to admit I did not pay much attention to or watch much of the debates around this as I thought this was another red herring. However, the one time I did it was about all the discussion around "Actually it's not because we get XXX in rebate and XXX in funding" was going on. The person speaking (think it was the Labour MP Gisela Stuart) said something along the lines of "we do give them the money but don't get it back immediately or deducted off of the money we have to pay initially, we get it back at a later date. So if we did not have to give to them, we could still fund the areas the grants are given to and the rest we can spend where we like, so we could increase spending on the NHS for instance."

    There was no mention that all £350 million would go to the NHS so where that came from I don't know. I do think I did see a quote where it was mentioned that "the £350 million saved could help fund the NHS" and something about how many hospitals or medical staff it could pay for, so maybe it was taken from that and then took on a life of its own as a promise, I would imagine as there has been articles about this with apologies from the leave camp, it must have been repeated as such.

    Strange, when the Leave campaign kept saying that despite all the scaremongering by the remain camp of some sort of immediate catastrophe, nothing would change immediately after the vote and for sometime afterwards (it would be some years before it did). Now it is over the remain camp are having a go a the leave camp because things are not going to change much for some time - we are still part of the EU and will continue to be so until the negotiations for separation are complete, which will take roughly two years from when Article 50 is enacted.
  • edited June 2016
    Can't accuse the elderly of ruining future for youth when they didn't vote.

    image
  • Grey. This is why I said in an earlier post I hate the expression "take back control". It`s a slogan, a catchphrase, and like so many slogans can be picked apart, and on its own is pretty meaningless. For me the idea of a common market is a sensible and noble idea. This is what we signed up for. Individual nation states that happen to share a continent with common economic goals. At the time this made each individual country stronger from a trading perspective. How the EU grew and evolved from there I personally have found unacceptable. The layers of government and bureaucracy and the costs involved are totally unnecessary and totally unpalatable given the original remit. There was/is no need for what Europe has become and the waste of money just to run the thing I find distasteful to say the least. There are decisions and policies formulated in Europe that have nothing to do with its original goals and I think that is where it has all gone wrong. This has been happening for years, this constant drip drip drip of extended and enhanced Euro powers has been getting under peoples skin, and finally given the chance people have said enough. Put it this way, everyone I spoke to that voted out would have had no problem voting in if the EU had stuck to its original remit. In fact we wouldn`t even be discussing a referendum. We haven`t got it wrong by voting out, Europe has got it wrong by assuming we wanted in whatever it did. Mrs G has pointed to a few success stories, if you invent a thousand rules and regulations some will be right, however, whose to say that these improvements in both human rights and environmental issues wouldn`t have happened irrespective of the EU by way of natural progression. We may have brought in similar laws, or maybe even better laws, we will never know. But at least they would have been our laws. Pushed through our parliament. There have been one or two pass through over the centuries. This is what people want (and not just in Britain). This is what I think of as "taking back control".

    This is why I voted out.
  • edited June 2016

    Acting as if older people don't care about future generations is ridiculous even if I don't agree with their decision.

    Old Mother shrugged - 86yo - voted Remain. The ex-Mrs shrugged parents didn't because they retired to France so didn't get a vote. Now they are now bricking themselves over whether they will still be able to get their free medical treatment, whether they can afford private if they can't or whether they are going to have to sell up and come back to the UK (because the NHS can easily handle more elderly people needing care).

    Mrs G has pointed to a few success stories, if you invent a thousand rules and regulations some will be right, however, whose to say that these improvements in both human rights and environmental issues wouldn`t have happened irrespective of the EU by way of natural progression. We may have brought in similar laws, or maybe even better laws, we will never know. But at least they would have been our laws. Pushed through our parliament. There have been one or two pass through over the centuries. This is what people want (and not just in Britain). This is what I think of as "taking back control".

    Human rights is nothing to do with the EU, the UK was the main driving force behind the European Convention on Human Rights and was the first country to ratify it in 1951. We had those Human Rights before we joined the Common Market in 1973 and all the Human Rights Act 1998 did was make them part of English (and Welsh) Law so that our courts could pass down judgements on them rather than having to refer cases to Strasbourg.

    Even if the UK leaves the EU or revoke the Human Rights Act we will still be subject to the ECHR, human rights won't just disappear.
  • outcast, am I misreading your post? Your image shows the 'elderly' did vote?

    (Not that I am blaming them, I just see a contradiction between your comment + the turnout stats ;hmm )
  • Mrs G, I think the point Outcast is raising is that us old gribs DID vote and that the yoof were quite absent from the polling stations ;ok

    I think ;hmm
  • That's how I read it. He's saying a low % of youth voted. If more voted it could have easily swung the other way? ;hmm
  • I get ya ;ok
This discussion has been closed.